Azerbaijan U21 vs Czechia U21

25 Sep 2026 · 15:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.0 pp

Azerbaijan U21

Czechia U21

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 8.3% DRAW 16.2% AWAY 75.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 8.6% 11.00 DRAW 16.9% 5.60 AWAY 74.5% 1.27

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Czechia U21 has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Azerbaijan U21 Czechia U21

Shots 3.5 · On target 1.8 Shots 8.5 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours Czechia U21, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Azerbaijan U21 Czechia U21

Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 2.0

Czechia U21 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Azerbaijan U21 Czechia U21

The combined recent performance profile favours Czechia U21.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Azerbaijan U21 ↑ +0.90 (+8.9%)

Czechia U21 ↓ -0.03 (-2.5%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.