Cyprus U21 vs Romania U21

25 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

Cyprus U21

Romania U21

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 12.2% DRAW 21.6% AWAY 66.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 12.5% 7.55 DRAW 21.9% 4.32 AWAY 65.6% 1.44

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Romania U21

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Cyprus U21 Romania U21

Shots 3.0 · On target 2.0 Shots 4.8 · On target 1.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Cyprus U21 Romania U21

Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 5.3 · On target allowed 1.8

Romania U21 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Cyprus U21 Romania U21

The combined recent performance profile favours Romania U21.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Cyprus U21 ↑ +0.56 (+8.0%)

Romania U21 ↑ +0.03 (+2.4%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.