Croatia U21 vs Hungary U21

26 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.4 pp

Croatia U21

Hungary U21

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 79.2% DRAW 13.5% AWAY 7.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 76.9% 1.27 DRAW 15.0% 6.50 AWAY 8.1% 12.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Croatia U21 has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Croatia U21 Hungary U21

Shots 12.5 · On target 5.0 Shots 10.0 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Croatia U21 Hungary U21

Shots allowed 5.8 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 5.5

Croatia U21 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Croatia U21 Hungary U21

The combined recent performance profile favours Croatia U21.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Croatia U21 ↓ -0.03 (-2.3%)

Hungary U21 ↑ +2.25 (+23.1%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.