Malta U21 vs Northern Ireland U21

26 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.3 pp

Malta U21

Northern Ireland U21

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 8.9% DRAW 14.1% AWAY 77.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 8.6% 11.00 DRAW 14.6% 6.47 AWAY 76.8% 1.23

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Northern Ireland U21

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Malta U21 Northern Ireland U21

Shots 5.0 · On target 2.0 Shots 4.8 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Malta U21 Northern Ireland U21

Shots allowed 14.0 · On target allowed 7.5 Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 5.0

Northern Ireland U21 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Malta U21 Northern Ireland U21

The combined recent performance profile favours Northern Ireland U21.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Malta U21 ↑ +1.10 (+11.1%)

Northern Ireland U21 ↓ -0.02 (-1.6%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.