Slovenia U21 vs Israel U21

29 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.0 pp

Slovenia U21

Israel U21

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 48.1% DRAW 26.6% AWAY 25.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 46.1% 2.12 DRAW 27.1% 3.60 AWAY 26.8% 3.65

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Israel U21

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Slovenia U21 Israel U21

Shots 5.0 · On target 2.3 Shots 7.5 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours Israel U21, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Slovenia U21 Israel U21

Shots allowed 5.3 · On target allowed 1.0 Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 4.0

Slovenia U21 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Slovenia U21 Israel U21

The combined recent performance profile favours Slovenia U21.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Slovenia U21 ↓ -0.05 (-2.3%)

Israel U21 ↑ +0.56 (+17.9%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.