Norway U21 vs Bosnia-Herzegovina U21

29 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.8 pp

Norway U21

Bosnia-Herzegovina U21

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 77.0% DRAW 14.7% AWAY 8.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 75.2% 1.26 DRAW 16.0% 5.94 AWAY 8.9% 10.70

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Norway U21

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Norway U21 Bosnia-Herzegovina U21

Shots 7.3 · On target 3.3 Shots 7.3 · On target 1.8

Recent attacking output favours Norway U21, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Norway U21 Bosnia-Herzegovina U21

Shots allowed 5.5 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 3.5

Norway U21 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Norway U21 Bosnia-Herzegovina U21

The combined recent performance profile favours Norway U21.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Norway U21 ↓ -0.01 (-0.8%)

Bosnia-Herzegovina U21 ↑ +2.20 (+27.5%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.