Rep of Ireland U21 vs Kazakhstan U21

29 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.4 pp

Rep of Ireland U21

Kazakhstan U21

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 79.5% DRAW 13.4% AWAY 7.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 78.1% 1.23 DRAW 14.5% 6.62 AWAY 7.4% 13.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Rep of Ireland U21 has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Rep of Ireland U21 Kazakhstan U21

Shots 10.5 · On target 3.0 Shots 7.0 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output favours Rep of Ireland U21, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Rep of Ireland U21 Kazakhstan U21

Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 2.0 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 3.3

Rep of Ireland U21 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Rep of Ireland U21 Kazakhstan U21

The combined recent performance profile favours Rep of Ireland U21.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Rep of Ireland U21 ↓ -0.02 (-1.6%)

Kazakhstan U21 ↑ +5.00 (+62.5%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.