Estonia U21 vs France U21

29 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.7 pp

Estonia U21

France U21

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 2.3% DRAW 3.4% AWAY 94.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 2.9% 34.00 DRAW 4.6% 21.13 AWAY 92.5% 1.05

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

France U21 has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Estonia U21 France U21

Shots 7.5 · On target 3.3 Shots 15.8 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output favours France U21, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Estonia U21 France U21

Shots allowed 19.3 · On target allowed 6.5 Shots allowed 5.5 · On target allowed 2.5

France U21 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Estonia U21 France U21

The combined recent performance profile favours France U21.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Estonia U21 ↑ +8.00 (+30.8%)

France U21 ↑ +0.02 (+1.9%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.