Malta U21 vs Germany U21

30 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

Malta U21

Germany U21

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 0.8% DRAW 1.7% AWAY 97.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 1.0% 100.00 DRAW 2.4% 41.00 AWAY 96.6% 1.02

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Germany U21 has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Malta U21 Germany U21

Shots 6.3 · On target 2.5 Shots 13.0 · On target 6.0

Recent attacking output favours Germany U21, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Malta U21 Germany U21

Shots allowed 18.5 · On target allowed 9.5 Shots allowed 5.5 · On target allowed 2.0

Germany U21 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Malta U21 Germany U21

The combined recent performance profile favours Germany U21.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Malta U21 ↑ +33.00 (+49.3%)

Germany U21 ↑ +0.01 (+1.4%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.