Faroe Islands U21 vs Luxembourg U21

30 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +4.1 pp

Faroe Islands U21

Luxembourg U21

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 38.7% DRAW 28.9% AWAY 32.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 43.1% 2.29 DRAW 28.6% 3.45 AWAY 28.2% 3.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Luxembourg U21 clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 32.4% win probability, compared with 28.2% implied by the market. The 4.1 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Faroe Islands U21

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Faroe Islands U21 Luxembourg U21

Shots 5.0 · On target 1.3 Shots 3.0 · On target 1.3

Recent attacking output favours Faroe Islands U21, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Faroe Islands U21 Luxembourg U21

Shots allowed 21.3 · On target allowed 6.8 Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 3.0

Luxembourg U21 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Faroe Islands U21 Luxembourg U21

The combined recent performance profile favours Luxembourg U21.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Faroe Islands U21 ↑ +0.42 (+22.5%)

Luxembourg U21 ↓ -0.46 (-11.6%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.