Scotland U21 vs Azerbaijan U21

30 Sep 2026 · 20:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.4 pp

Scotland U21

Azerbaijan U21

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 80.2% DRAW 12.2% AWAY 7.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 80.0% 1.20 DRAW 12.9% 7.45 AWAY 7.1% 13.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Scotland U21

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Scotland U21 Azerbaijan U21

Shots 5.3 · On target 2.5 Shots 3.5 · On target 1.8

Recent attacking output favours Scotland U21, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Scotland U21 Azerbaijan U21

Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 2.8

Azerbaijan U21 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Scotland U21 Azerbaijan U21

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Scotland U21 ↓ -0.33 (-21.5%)

Azerbaijan U21 ↑ +9.00 (+200.0%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.