Czechia U21 vs Bulgaria U21

30 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

Czechia U21

Bulgaria U21

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 65.5% DRAW 21.5% AWAY 13.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 66.5% 1.45 DRAW 21.4% 4.51 AWAY 12.1% 8.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Czechia U21

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Czechia U21 Bulgaria U21

Shots 8.5 · On target 4.3 Shots 6.5 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output favours Czechia U21, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Czechia U21 Bulgaria U21

Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 2.0 Shots allowed 1.0 · On target allowed 0.5

Bulgaria U21 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Czechia U21 Bulgaria U21

The combined recent performance profile favours Bulgaria U21.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Czechia U21 ↑ +0.08 (+5.7%)

Bulgaria U21 ↑ +1.12 (+16.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.