San Marino U21 vs Spain U21

01 Oct 2026 · 20:15

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

San Marino U21

Spain U21

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 1.0% DRAW 3.0% AWAY 96.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 1.2% 81.00 DRAW 3.7% 26.00 AWAY 95.1% 1.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Spain U21 has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

San Marino U21 Spain U21

Shots 0.8 · On target 0.5 Shots 10.5 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output favours Spain U21, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

San Marino U21 Spain U21

Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 3.5 · On target allowed 1.3

Spain U21 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

San Marino U21 Spain U21

The combined recent performance profile favours Spain U21.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

San Marino U21 = (0.0%)

Spain U21 = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.