Kosovo U21 vs Cyprus U21

30 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.3 pp

Kosovo U21

Cyprus U21

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 80.8% DRAW 12.3% AWAY 6.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 77.5% 1.23 DRAW 14.2% 6.70 AWAY 8.3% 11.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Kosovo U21 relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 80.8% win probability, compared with 77.5% implied by the market. The 3.3 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Kosovo U21

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Kosovo U21 Cyprus U21

Shots 13.5 · On target 5.0 Shots 3.0 · On target 2.0

Recent attacking output favours Kosovo U21, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Kosovo U21 Cyprus U21

Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 5.3

Kosovo U21 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Kosovo U21 Cyprus U21

The combined recent performance profile favours Kosovo U21.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Kosovo U21 ↑ +0.02 (+1.7%)

Cyprus U21 ↓ -2.20 (-16.1%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.