Romania U21 vs Finland U21

30 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.4 pp

Romania U21

Finland U21

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 37.3% DRAW 25.7% AWAY 37.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 39.2% 2.52 DRAW 26.2% 3.77 AWAY 34.6% 2.85

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Finland U21

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Romania U21 Finland U21

Shots 4.8 · On target 1.8 Shots 11.3 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output favours Finland U21, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Romania U21 Finland U21

Shots allowed 5.3 · On target allowed 1.8 Shots allowed 5.8 · On target allowed 3.0

Romania U21 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Romania U21 Finland U21

The combined recent performance profile favours Finland U21.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Romania U21 ↑ +0.35 (+16.1%)

Finland U21 ↓ -0.25 (-8.1%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.