Hungary U21 vs Lithuania U21

01 Oct 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.3 pp

Hungary U21

Lithuania U21

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 62.5% DRAW 21.0% AWAY 16.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 65.1% 1.47 DRAW 20.7% 4.62 AWAY 14.2% 6.75

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Lithuania U21 has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Hungary U21 Lithuania U21

Shots 5.3 · On target 2.5 Shots 9.0 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output favours Lithuania U21, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Hungary U21 Lithuania U21

Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 2.8

Lithuania U21 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Hungary U21 Lithuania U21

The combined recent performance profile favours Lithuania U21.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Hungary U21 ↑ +0.07 (+5.0%)

Lithuania U21 ↑ +0.50 (+8.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.