Northern Ireland U21 vs Georgia U21

01 Oct 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.7 pp

Northern Ireland U21

Georgia U21

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 44.4% DRAW 28.0% AWAY 27.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 46.2% 2.16 DRAW 27.9% 3.58 AWAY 25.9% 3.85

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Georgia U21 has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Northern Ireland U21 Georgia U21

Shots 9.3 · On target 4.5 Shots 12.8 · On target 6.0

Recent attacking output favours Georgia U21, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Northern Ireland U21 Georgia U21

Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 5.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Northern Ireland U21 Georgia U21

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Northern Ireland U21 ↑ +0.11 (+5.4%)

Georgia U21 ↑ +0.65 (+20.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.