Greece U21 vs Latvia U21

01 Oct 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.5 pp

Greece U21

Latvia U21

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 89.9% DRAW 7.1% AWAY 3.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 87.5% 1.08 DRAW 8.7% 10.84 AWAY 3.8% 25.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Greece U21 has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Greece U21 Latvia U21

Shots 15.5 · On target 6.8 Shots 6.5 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output favours Greece U21, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Greece U21 Latvia U21

Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 16.0 · On target allowed 5.0

Greece U21 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Greece U21 Latvia U21

The combined recent performance profile favours Greece U21.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Greece U21 ↑ +0.00 (+0.3%)

Latvia U21 ↑ +7.00 (+38.9%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.