Slovenia U21 vs Netherlands U21

02 Oct 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp

Slovenia U21

Netherlands U21

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 9.1% DRAW 15.9% AWAY 75.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 9.4% 10.31 DRAW 16.7% 5.82 AWAY 73.8% 1.32

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Netherlands U21

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Slovenia U21 Netherlands U21

Shots 6.5 · On target 4.0 Shots 16.0 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output favours Netherlands U21, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Slovenia U21 Netherlands U21

Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 2.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Slovenia U21 Netherlands U21

The combined recent performance profile favours Netherlands U21.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Slovenia U21 ↑ +2.11 (+25.7%)

Netherlands U21 ↓ -0.02 (-1.1%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.