England U21 vs Slovakia U21

02 Oct 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.6 pp

England U21

Slovakia U21

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 77.3% DRAW 13.8% AWAY 8.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 75.7% 1.29 DRAW 15.0% 6.47 AWAY 9.3% 10.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

England U21 has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

England U21 Slovakia U21

Shots 14.0 · On target 6.0 Shots 12.8 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

England U21 Slovakia U21

Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 2.3 Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 4.5

England U21 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

England U21 Slovakia U21

The combined recent performance profile favours England U21.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

England U21 ↑ +0.09 (+7.1%)

Slovakia U21 ↓ -2.70 (-20.5%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.