Andorra U21 vs Moldova U21

02 Oct 2026 · 19:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.3 pp

Andorra U21

Moldova U21

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 44.5% DRAW 27.0% AWAY 28.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 44.5% 2.17 DRAW 27.2% 3.55 AWAY 28.2% 3.42

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Moldova U21

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Andorra U21 Moldova U21

Shots 6.5 · On target 2.3 Shots 11.0 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours Moldova U21, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Andorra U21 Moldova U21

Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 14.5 · On target allowed 4.8

Andorra U21 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Andorra U21 Moldova U21

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Andorra U21 ↓ -0.63 (-22.5%)

Moldova U21 ↑ +0.94 (+38.1%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.