Real Salt Lake vs New England Revolution

27 Sep 2026 · 03:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.4 pp

Real Salt Lake

New England Revolution

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 43.8% DRAW 24.4% AWAY 31.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 43.6% 2.23 DRAW 25.1% 3.88 AWAY 31.4% 3.10

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: New England Revolution

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Real Salt Lake New England Revolution

Shots 10.8 · On target 3.0 Shots 13.5 · On target 6.3

Recent attacking output favours New England Revolution, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Real Salt Lake New England Revolution

Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 14.0 · On target allowed 5.0

Real Salt Lake has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Real Salt Lake New England Revolution

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Real Salt Lake ↑ +0.04 (+1.9%)

New England Revolution ↓ -0.07 (-2.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.