Villa Dalmine vs UAI Urquiza

27 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

Villa Dalmine

UAI Urquiza

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 57.6% DRAW 27.7% AWAY 14.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 56.9% 1.63 DRAW 27.7% 3.35 AWAY 15.4% 6.01

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Villa Dalmine has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Villa Dalmine UAI Urquiza

Shots 9.0 · On target 2.8 Shots 6.3 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Villa Dalmine UAI Urquiza

Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 2.0 Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 2.8

Villa Dalmine has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Villa Dalmine UAI Urquiza

The combined recent performance profile favours Villa Dalmine.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Villa Dalmine ↓ -0.05 (-3.1%)

UAI Urquiza ↑ +1.41 (+30.7%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.