Deportivo Muniz vs El Porvenir

26 Sep 2026 · 22:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.8 pp

Deportivo Muniz

El Porvenir

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 26.1% DRAW 31.9% AWAY 42.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 28.1% 3.15 DRAW 31.6% 2.80 AWAY 40.3% 2.20

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: El Porvenir

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Deportivo Muniz El Porvenir

Shots 5.8 · On target 2.3 Shots 4.5 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Deportivo Muniz El Porvenir

Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 6.8 Shots allowed 5.8 · On target allowed 2.8

El Porvenir has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Deportivo Muniz El Porvenir

The combined recent performance profile favours El Porvenir.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Deportivo Muniz = (0.0%)

El Porvenir = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.