Puerto Nuevo vs Deportivo Paraguayo

20 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

Puerto Nuevo

Deportivo Paraguayo

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 48.1% DRAW 32.3% AWAY 19.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 48.4% 1.96 DRAW 31.6% 3.00 AWAY 20.0% 4.75

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Puerto Nuevo

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Puerto Nuevo Deportivo Paraguayo

Shots 6.3 · On target 1.8 Shots 6.0 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours Deportivo Paraguayo, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Puerto Nuevo Deportivo Paraguayo

Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 4.0

Puerto Nuevo has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Puerto Nuevo Deportivo Paraguayo

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Puerto Nuevo ↑ +0.16 (+8.9%)

Deportivo Paraguayo ↑ +0.21 (+4.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.