Deportivo Paraguayo vs CA Lugano

26 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

Deportivo Paraguayo

CA Lugano

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 25.3% DRAW 32.2% AWAY 42.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 25.4% 3.60 DRAW 31.5% 2.90 AWAY 43.1% 2.12

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

CA Lugano has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Deportivo Paraguayo CA Lugano

Shots 6.5 · On target 3.8 Shots 7.5 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Deportivo Paraguayo CA Lugano

Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 4.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Deportivo Paraguayo CA Lugano

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Deportivo Paraguayo ↑ +0.35 (+10.8%)

CA Lugano ↑ +0.02 (+1.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.