Rhode Island FC vs Indy Eleven

01 Oct 2026 · 01:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.5 pp

Rhode Island FC

Indy Eleven

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 52.1% DRAW 22.5% AWAY 25.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 51.6% 1.87 DRAW 23.3% 4.14 AWAY 25.1% 3.85

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Indy Eleven

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Rhode Island FC Indy Eleven

Shots 11.5 · On target 3.8 Shots 10.0 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Rhode Island FC Indy Eleven

Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 3.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Rhode Island FC Indy Eleven

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Rhode Island FC ↑ +0.10 (+5.8%)

Indy Eleven ↑ +0.19 (+4.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.