San Antonio FC vs Tampa Bay Rowdies

27 Sep 2026 · 02:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.6 pp

San Antonio FC

Tampa Bay Rowdies

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 26.5% DRAW 28.5% AWAY 45.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 27.9% 3.41 DRAW 28.7% 3.32 AWAY 43.4% 2.19

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Tampa Bay Rowdies

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

San Antonio FC Tampa Bay Rowdies

Shots 8.0 · On target 1.5 Shots 12.3 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output favours Tampa Bay Rowdies, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

San Antonio FC Tampa Bay Rowdies

Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 3.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

San Antonio FC Tampa Bay Rowdies

The combined recent performance profile favours Tampa Bay Rowdies.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

San Antonio FC ↓ -0.13 (-3.7%)

Tampa Bay Rowdies ↑ +0.17 (+8.4%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.