Orange County SC vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds

27 Sep 2026 · 04:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.8 pp

Orange County SC

Pittsburgh Riverhounds

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 30.2% DRAW 30.1% AWAY 39.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 32.0% 3.00 DRAW 30.0% 3.20 AWAY 38.0% 2.53

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Orange County SC

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Orange County SC Pittsburgh Riverhounds

Shots 5.5 · On target 2.5 Shots 5.0 · On target 1.8

Recent attacking output favours Orange County SC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Orange County SC Pittsburgh Riverhounds

Shots allowed 14.0 · On target allowed 6.5 Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 2.8

Pittsburgh Riverhounds has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Orange County SC Pittsburgh Riverhounds

The combined recent performance profile favours Pittsburgh Riverhounds.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Orange County SC ↓ -0.07 (-2.3%)

Pittsburgh Riverhounds ↑ +0.19 (+8.1%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.