Birmingham Legion FC vs Brooklyn FC

23 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.3 pp

Birmingham Legion FC

Brooklyn FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 56.1% DRAW 21.7% AWAY 22.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 52.9% 1.83 DRAW 23.0% 4.20 AWAY 24.1% 4.01

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Birmingham Legion FC relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 56.1% win probability, compared with 52.9% implied by the market. The 3.3 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Birmingham Legion FC

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Birmingham Legion FC Brooklyn FC

Shots 12.5 · On target 6.0 Shots 8.3 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours Birmingham Legion FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Birmingham Legion FC Brooklyn FC

Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 4.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Birmingham Legion FC Brooklyn FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Birmingham Legion FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Birmingham Legion FC ↑ +0.01 (+0.6%)

Brooklyn FC ↑ +0.38 (+10.5%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.