Sacramento Republic vs San Antonio FC

21 Sep 2026 · 01:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

Sacramento Republic

San Antonio FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 47.6% DRAW 28.6% AWAY 23.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 46.7% 2.06 DRAW 28.7% 3.35 AWAY 24.6% 3.90

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Sacramento Republic

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Sacramento Republic San Antonio FC

Shots 8.3 · On target 3.3 Shots 11.0 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Sacramento Republic San Antonio FC

Shots allowed 4.3 · On target allowed 1.8 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 2.3

Sacramento Republic has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Sacramento Republic San Antonio FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Sacramento Republic.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Sacramento Republic ↓ -0.02 (-0.8%)

San Antonio FC ↑ +0.02 (+0.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.