Indy Eleven vs Oakland Roots

20 Sep 2026 · 23:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

Indy Eleven

Oakland Roots

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 47.0% DRAW 24.0% AWAY 29.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 45.7% 2.10 DRAW 24.7% 3.88 AWAY 29.5% 3.25

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Indy Eleven

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Indy Eleven Oakland Roots

Shots 11.3 · On target 5.0 Shots 10.3 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours Indy Eleven, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Indy Eleven Oakland Roots

Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 4.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Indy Eleven Oakland Roots

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Indy Eleven ↑ +0.23 (+12.1%)

Oakland Roots ↓ -0.14 (-4.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.