New York Cosmos vs Richmond Kickers

27 Sep 2026 · 22:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.2 pp

New York Cosmos

Richmond Kickers

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 62.9% DRAW 20.9% AWAY 16.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 58.7% 1.62 DRAW 22.5% 4.21 AWAY 18.7% 5.06

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates New York Cosmos clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 62.9% win probability, compared with 58.7% implied by the market. The 4.2 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

New York Cosmos has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

New York Cosmos Richmond Kickers

Shots 13.3 · On target 6.8 Shots 8.0 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours New York Cosmos, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

New York Cosmos Richmond Kickers

Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 13.8 · On target allowed 5.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

New York Cosmos Richmond Kickers

The combined recent performance profile favours New York Cosmos.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

New York Cosmos ↓ -0.17 (-9.3%)

Richmond Kickers ↑ +1.56 (+44.6%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.