Greenville Triumph SC vs Union Omaha

27 Sep 2026 · 01:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

Greenville Triumph SC

Union Omaha

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 26.8% DRAW 25.7% AWAY 47.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 27.1% 3.52 DRAW 26.1% 3.65 AWAY 46.8% 2.04

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Union Omaha has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Greenville Triumph SC Union Omaha

Shots 8.5 · On target 4.3 Shots 9.5 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Greenville Triumph SC Union Omaha

Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 3.0

Union Omaha has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Greenville Triumph SC Union Omaha

The combined recent performance profile favours Union Omaha.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Greenville Triumph SC ↑ +0.45 (+16.4%)

Union Omaha = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.