Orlando Pride (W) vs San Diego Wave (W)

03 Oct 2026 · 02:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.3 pp

Orlando Pride (W)

San Diego Wave (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 26.2% DRAW 22.1% AWAY 51.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 27.5% 3.50 DRAW 23.1% 4.16 AWAY 49.4% 1.94

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

San Diego Wave (W) has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Orlando Pride (W) San Diego Wave (W)

Shots 11.0 · On target 5.3 Shots 12.0 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Orlando Pride (W) San Diego Wave (W)

Shots allowed 14.5 · On target allowed 8.0 Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 4.0

San Diego Wave (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Orlando Pride (W) San Diego Wave (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours San Diego Wave (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Orlando Pride (W) ↑ +0.07 (+1.9%)

San Diego Wave (W) ↓ -0.24 (-10.8%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.