Bay FC (W) vs Orlando Pride (W)

27 Sep 2026 · 23:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.7 pp

Bay FC (W)

Orlando Pride (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 44.2% DRAW 25.4% AWAY 30.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 41.4% 2.21 DRAW 26.1% 3.51 AWAY 32.5% 2.82

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Bay FC (W) relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 44.2% win probability, compared with 41.4% implied by the market. The 2.7 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Bay FC (W) has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Bay FC (W) Orlando Pride (W)

Shots 12.8 · On target 5.3 Shots 10.5 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Bay FC (W) Orlando Pride (W)

Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 6.0 Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 6.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Bay FC (W) Orlando Pride (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Bay FC (W) ↓ -0.04 (-1.8%)

Orlando Pride (W) ↑ +0.06 (+2.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.