Washington Spirit (W) vs Angel City FC (W)

27 Sep 2026 · 00:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.1 pp

Washington Spirit (W)

Angel City FC (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 41.8% DRAW 25.6% AWAY 32.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 44.6% 2.09 DRAW 25.9% 3.60 AWAY 29.4% 3.17

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Angel City FC (W) relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 32.5% win probability, compared with 29.4% implied by the market. The 3.1 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Angel City FC (W) has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Washington Spirit (W) Angel City FC (W)

Shots 10.8 · On target 4.3 Shots 12.8 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output favours Angel City FC (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Washington Spirit (W) Angel City FC (W)

Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 3.0

Angel City FC (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Washington Spirit (W) Angel City FC (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Angel City FC (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Washington Spirit (W) ↑ +0.07 (+3.2%)

Angel City FC (W) ↑ +0.46 (+15.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.