Chicago Stars (W) vs Washington Spirit (W)

20 Sep 2026 · 23:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.2 pp

Chicago Stars (W)

Washington Spirit (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 10.3% DRAW 14.7% AWAY 75.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 11.2% 8.55 DRAW 16.0% 5.98 AWAY 72.8% 1.32

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Washington Spirit (W) has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Chicago Stars (W) Washington Spirit (W)

Shots 8.0 · On target 3.3 Shots 13.0 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours Washington Spirit (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Chicago Stars (W) Washington Spirit (W)

Shots allowed 20.0 · On target allowed 7.0 Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 5.0

Washington Spirit (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Chicago Stars (W) Washington Spirit (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Washington Spirit (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Chicago Stars (W) ↑ +0.45 (+5.6%)

Washington Spirit (W) ↓ -0.02 (-1.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.