Utah Royals (W) vs North Carolina Courage (W)

28 Sep 2026 · 01:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.5 pp

Utah Royals (W)

North Carolina Courage (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 42.4% DRAW 25.4% AWAY 32.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 43.5% 2.20 DRAW 25.9% 3.70 AWAY 30.7% 3.12

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: North Carolina Courage (W)

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Utah Royals (W) North Carolina Courage (W)

Shots 9.3 · On target 3.5 Shots 14.0 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output favours North Carolina Courage (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Utah Royals (W) North Carolina Courage (W)

Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 4.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Utah Royals (W) North Carolina Courage (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Utah Royals (W) ↑ +0.09 (+4.0%)

North Carolina Courage (W) ↑ +0.02 (+0.7%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.