Hinna vs Staal Jørpeland

02 Oct 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.8 pp

Hinna

Staal Jørpeland

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 55.7% DRAW 18.3% AWAY 26.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 51.9% 1.93 DRAW 19.9% 5.02 AWAY 28.2% 3.55

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Hinna relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 55.7% win probability, compared with 51.9% implied by the market. The 3.8 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Hinna

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Hinna Staal Jørpeland

Shots 16.5 · On target 6.5 Shots 13.0 · On target 6.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Hinna Staal Jørpeland

Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 7.3 Shots allowed 16.3 · On target allowed 6.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Hinna Staal Jørpeland

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Hinna ↑ +0.18 (+10.3%)

Staal Jørpeland ↑ +0.45 (+14.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.