Rosenborg 2 vs Melhus

02 Oct 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +4.4 pp

Rosenborg 2

Melhus

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 38.2% DRAW 20.8% AWAY 40.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 41.5% 2.38 DRAW 22.0% 4.49 AWAY 36.6% 2.70

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Melhus clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 40.9% win probability, compared with 36.6% implied by the market. The 4.4 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Melhus has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Rosenborg 2 Melhus

Shots 11.0 · On target 4.0 Shots 13.8 · On target 8.3

Recent attacking output favours Melhus, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Rosenborg 2 Melhus

Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 7.5 Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 4.8

Melhus has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Rosenborg 2 Melhus

The combined recent performance profile favours Melhus.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Rosenborg 2 ↑ +0.18 (+8.2%)

Melhus ↑ +0.35 (+14.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.