Molde 2 vs Herd

02 Oct 2026 · 18:30

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +5.0 pp

Molde 2

Herd

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 36.1% DRAW 18.2% AWAY 45.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 31.2% 3.25 DRAW 19.2% 5.27 AWAY 49.6% 2.04

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Molde 2 clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 36.1% win probability, compared with 31.2% implied by the market. The 5.0 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Molde 2

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Molde 2 Herd

Shots 9.5 · On target 4.8 Shots 8.8 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Molde 2 Herd

Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 14.0 · On target allowed 9.0

Molde 2 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Molde 2 Herd

The combined recent performance profile favours Molde 2.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Molde 2 ↑ +0.29 (+11.9%)

Herd ↓ -0.10 (-4.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.