Varhaug vs Staal Jørpeland

25 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.2 pp

Varhaug

Staal Jørpeland

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 63.0% DRAW 17.7% AWAY 19.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 61.7% 1.53 DRAW 18.9% 5.00 AWAY 19.3% 4.90

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Staal Jørpeland

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Varhaug Staal Jørpeland

Shots 7.5 · On target 2.5 Shots 13.0 · On target 6.3

Recent attacking output favours Staal Jørpeland, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Varhaug Staal Jørpeland

Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 16.3 · On target allowed 6.5

Varhaug has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Varhaug Staal Jørpeland

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Varhaug ↑ +0.10 (+7.2%)

Staal Jørpeland ↑ +0.30 (+6.4%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.