Rælingen vs Lyn 1896 II

28 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +5.4 pp

Rælingen

Lyn 1896 II

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 42.4% DRAW 19.7% AWAY 37.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 37.0% 2.45 DRAW 20.9% 4.33 AWAY 42.0% 2.16

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Rælingen clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 42.4% win probability, compared with 37.0% implied by the market. The 5.4 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Rælingen

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Rælingen Lyn 1896 II

Shots 10.5 · On target 5.3 Shots 12.8 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Rælingen Lyn 1896 II

Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 15.3 · On target allowed 8.5

Rælingen has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Rælingen Lyn 1896 II

The combined recent performance profile favours Rælingen.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Rælingen ↑ +0.05 (+2.1%)

Lyn 1896 II ↑ +0.06 (+2.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.