Boston Legacy FC (W) vs Houston Dash (W)

20 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.3 pp

Boston Legacy FC (W)

Houston Dash (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 61.2% DRAW 22.2% AWAY 16.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 57.9% 1.65 DRAW 23.5% 4.06 AWAY 18.6% 5.13

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Boston Legacy FC (W) relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 61.2% win probability, compared with 57.9% implied by the market. The 3.3 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Boston Legacy FC (W) has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Boston Legacy FC (W) Houston Dash (W)

Shots 9.0 · On target 4.3 Shots 6.3 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours Boston Legacy FC (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Boston Legacy FC (W) Houston Dash (W)

Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 16.5 · On target allowed 7.5

Boston Legacy FC (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Boston Legacy FC (W) Houston Dash (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Boston Legacy FC (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Boston Legacy FC (W) ↑ +0.16 (+10.7%)

Houston Dash (W) ↓ -0.38 (-6.9%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.