Vard Haugesund vs Fana

26 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.0 pp

Vard Haugesund

Fana

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 65.3% DRAW 18.6% AWAY 16.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 63.3% 1.46 DRAW 19.9% 4.65 AWAY 16.9% 5.48

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Vard Haugesund

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Vard Haugesund Fana

Shots 13.8 · On target 5.8 Shots 5.0 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output favours Vard Haugesund, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Vard Haugesund Fana

Shots allowed 13.8 · On target allowed 6.5 Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 4.5

Fana has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Vard Haugesund Fana

The combined recent performance profile favours Vard Haugesund.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Vard Haugesund = (0.0%)

Fana ↑ +0.47 (+11.5%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.