Philadelphia Union II vs New York City FC II

20 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.0 pp

Philadelphia Union II

New York City FC II

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 44.0% DRAW 23.5% AWAY 32.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 45.4% 2.08 DRAW 24.2% 3.90 AWAY 30.4% 3.10

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Philadelphia Union II

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Philadelphia Union II New York City FC II

Shots 11.3 · On target 5.5 Shots 10.0 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Philadelphia Union II New York City FC II

Shots allowed 16.3 · On target allowed 7.3 Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 4.8

New York City FC II has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Philadelphia Union II New York City FC II

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Philadelphia Union II ↓ -0.15 (-6.7%)

New York City FC II ↑ +0.60 (+24.0%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.