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USA MLS Next Pro League · US

FC Cincinnati II vs Crown Legacy

20 Sep 2026 · 20:00
NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp
FC Cincinnati II
Crown Legacy
HOME 21.8% DRAW 18.6% AWAY 59.6%
HOME 21.6% 4.52 DRAW 19.7% 4.96 AWAY 58.8% 1.66

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Crown Legacy has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
FC Cincinnati II Crown Legacy
Shots 12.8 · On target 6.3 Shots 13.5 · On target 6.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
FC Cincinnati II Crown Legacy
Shots allowed 15.5 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 5.0

Crown Legacy has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
FC Cincinnati II Crown Legacy

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

FC Cincinnati II ↑ +0.12 (+2.7%)
Crown Legacy ↓ -0.03 (-2.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.