Chicago Fire II vs Chattanooga FC

20 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.6 pp

Chicago Fire II

Chattanooga FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 35.5% DRAW 22.4% AWAY 42.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 37.0% 2.54 DRAW 23.4% 4.02 AWAY 39.5% 2.38

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Chattanooga FC relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 42.1% win probability, compared with 39.5% implied by the market. The 2.6 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Chattanooga FC has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Chicago Fire II Chattanooga FC

Shots 12.0 · On target 4.0 Shots 13.8 · On target 7.0

Recent attacking output favours Chattanooga FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Chicago Fire II Chattanooga FC

Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 3.8

Chattanooga FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Chicago Fire II Chattanooga FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Chattanooga FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Chicago Fire II ↓ -0.05 (-1.9%)

Chattanooga FC = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.