Houston Dynamo II vs Sporting Kansas City II

20 Sep 2026 · 23:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.5 pp

Houston Dynamo II

Sporting Kansas City II

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 70.1% DRAW 16.7% AWAY 13.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 68.5% 1.37 DRAW 17.9% 5.24 AWAY 13.5% 6.94

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Houston Dynamo II

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Houston Dynamo II Sporting Kansas City II

Shots 9.0 · On target 2.8 Shots 8.8 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Houston Dynamo II Sporting Kansas City II

Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 14.8 · On target allowed 8.0

Houston Dynamo II has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Houston Dynamo II Sporting Kansas City II

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Houston Dynamo II ↑ +0.02 (+1.5%)

Sporting Kansas City II ↑ +0.65 (+10.4%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.